Pacers, Bulls clash at Conseco Fieldhouse

Basketball Betting Lines

02/09/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - A Chicago Bulls squad that's struggled on the road for much of this season will try to turn around its historic lack of success at Indianapolis' Conseco Fieldhouse in tonight's Central Division clash with the Indiana Pacers.

Chicago is just 9-17 as the visitor thus far in 2009-10 and has dropped its last two tests away from home, although the club did string together five straight road wins from January 22-29. The Bulls have been worse when traveling to Indiana over the years, earning just three victories in its last 22 tries as the guest in this series.

Since Conseco Fieldhouse opened in 1999, Chicago has gone just 3-17 in road games against the Pacers, including defeats in both meetings between the teams held in Indianapolis last season.

The Bulls did deal Indiana a 104-95 setback in the Windy City back on December 29, though, and halted a three-game losing streak with Saturday's 95-91 home triumph over Miami.

"It was a big win," said forward Luol Deng, who led Chicago with 25 points. "Every time you have a losing streak you just want to put an end to it."

Chicago prevailed over the Heat by getting to the free throw line and hitting those shots. The Bulls had a season-high 35 attempts from the charity stripe and converted 28 of them.

Deng went 9-of-11 from the foul line and Derrick Rose, who scored 24 points in the win, made 6-of-8 free-throw shots.

John Salmons chipped in 15 points for Chicago and Brad Miller notched 13 points, eight rebounds and five steals to help off offset the absence of fellow bigs Joakim Noah and Tyrus Thomas. Noah is expected to remain sidelined until after the All-Star break with plantar fasciitis in his foot, while Thomas was suspended by the Bulls for Saturday's contest for conduct detrimental to the team.

Thomas, averaging 8.5 points and 6.2 rebounds in a reserve role this season, is expected to play tonight.

Indiana had posted back-to-back home wins over Toronto and Detroit to begin February, but couldn't keep up the momentum in Saturday's trip to rival Milwaukee. The Pacers dropped a 93-81 decision to the Bucks after being outrebounded by a 43-33 margin and committing 19 turnovers that led to 25 points by their opponent.

"They hurt us on the boards," remarked Pacers center Roy Hibbert. "That has to be my responsibility to keep the big guys off the offensive glass."

Hibbert collected just four rebounds in addition to scoring 10 points, while leading scorer Danny Granger managed 14 points -- eight under his season average -- on 5-of-14 shooting. T.J. Ford topped the Pacers with 20 points off the bench.

Ford saw the majority of minutes at point guard with regular starter Earl Watson missing a second straight game due to a personal matter. The well- traveled veteran will likely be back in the lineup for this evening's matchup, however.

Indiana has also played its last two tilts without reserve guard Luther Head, who remains day-to-day with a viral infection.

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How did changes to college football betting rules affect bettors?

The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.

While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.

For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.

1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.

2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.

How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.

Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.

Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.

How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).

Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.

Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.

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